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 Ian Shepherdson - “Core prices remain very subdued, and core pipeline pressure is non-existent, ... There is no inflation threat here for the foreseeable future.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “The gains were uneven, however, with small declines in clothing and electronics, a decent 0.7 percent rise for general merchandise and a huge leap for non-store retailers. Provided January holds up -- surveys suggest so far, so good -- the overall holiday season will have been pretty good.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “My guess is it won't be very exciting because he already told us three weeks ago what he thinks. He's certainly not going to say anything that suggests the Fed might be thinking about not cutting rates as soon as the market thinks but I don't think he'll want to give the impression that they're going to slash rates even more aggressively.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “This testimony did not give the impression that he is in a great hurry to cut rates immediately.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “The survey has a good track record and the signal it is sending cannot be welcome at the Fed.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “Another 25 basis point palliative ease in August seems a good bet. But the big easing story is over.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “After 911, the index made up all the ground lost, and more, by January '02. This seems as good a guide as any now, though in the meantime we expect a couple of very rough months for consumers' spending.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “This jump in inventories will marginally lift second quarter GDP growth expectations. We look for growth of between 2.5 percent and 3 percent, with inventories adding some 0.75 percent.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “This jump in inventories will marginally lift second quarter GDP growth expectations, ... We look for growth of between 2.5 percent and 3 percent, with inventories adding some 0.75 percent.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “These data again show that when people have substantial net assets, slower income growth need not kill spending,”
 Ian Shepherdson - “The question the Fed now faces is what will happen to growth looking forward in the wake of a 75-basis-point tightening”
 Ian Shepherdson - “Overall, solid domestic final demand, but the second quarter will be much weaker. We expect growth to slow to 3 or less, led by a sharp slowing in consumption.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “A strong U.S. corporate recovery is brewing right now -- this survey implies 4 percent gross domestic product growth,”
 Ian Shepherdson - “Inventories remain very low and will add to third quarter and fourth quarter growth, too.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “Just about everyone who buys a house uses a mortgage, so a sustained drop in mortgage demand tells you where home sales are going, regardless of the current sales data.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “A clearer demonstration of the unpredictable havoc Easter plays with seasonal adjustments you could not hope to see,”
 Ian Shepherdson - “It is impossible to tell how much of the drop simply reflects the inability of the seasonal adjustment to cope with the end of the auto retooling shutdowns, and how much is due to the underlying trend,”
 Ian Shepherdson - “It is impossible to tell how much of the drop simply reflects the inability of the seasonal adjustment to cope with the end of the auto retooling shutdowns, and how much is due to the underlying trend.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “Behind the enormous distortions caused by the hurricanes, the underlying state of the labor market has continued to improve.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “The Chicago survey is very susceptible to changes in conditions in the auto industry, where activity has been very volatile in recent months.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “The bottom line here is that industry is doing well.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “Clearly good numbers, reinforcing the Fed view that much of the spring rise in inflation was 'transitory' - but good CPI numbers alone will not stop rates rising slowly,”
 Ian Shepherdson - “(The GDP and inflation data) won't prevent modest further easing,”
 Ian Shepherdson - “Clearly good numbers, reinforcing the Fed view that much of the spring rise in inflation was 'transitory' - but good CPI numbers alone will not stop rates rising slowly.”
 Ian Shepherdson - “Clearly, there is no near-term inflation threat coming from the labor market. In short, great numbers, which will prompt yet more talk of miracles.”

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