The problem in the stock market it not that it's unknowable, and not that it's too complicated. The problem in the stock market is that we don't let our good ideas work. We're always getting in the way of our better ideas,
Think back to 1994, 1995, read any publication from that time, and everyone thought we were going to have a bear market. The person who waited for the 500 point correction on the Dow missed 5,000 points. You don't want that to happen to you.
Personal funds are what mutual funds would be if they were designed today. It's simply a better mousetrap in almost every meaningful way.
Tip number one is you have to start saving immediately,
The model never varies. It never has an ego problem it never has a fight with its spouse it never wants to prove that it's right. The model is never hung-over after a night of partying -- it just does the same thing, time and time again. Very boring, very profitable.
Price momentum comes at a tremendous cost in volatility. It's a wild roller coaster ride. Make sure you don't have lunch before doing price momentum alone. Use momentum where you can get low price-to-sales, low price-to-earnings ratios. Don't use it alone,
In terms of thinking about market valuations, think, do I care My goals are 10, 20 years from now, not now. If you have shorter-term goals, you should be aware that market valuations fluctuate wildly.