Bill Gross Quotes

At some point down the road, in a dynamic economy such as the U.S., we should be returning to a more normal shape. That means ultimately short rates and the front end of the curve will trade at lower yields than long rates.

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Either way, ... we pay the price higher import costs, a cutback in spending on cheap foreign goods, rising inflation, perhaps chaotic financial markets, a lower standard of living.

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If the economy slows down, if housing moves back down, then at some point late in 2006 the Fed starts to lower rates. That's why a 10-year note yield at 4.55 percent is a decent value as opposed to overvalued.

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Is it any wonder that in the space of the last six months we have had headline speeches promoting the dangers of deflation only to be followed by fears of accelerating inflation

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What we're doing is kind of expanding upon the neighbor concept.

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It's not a great time for high yield.

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The current, rather mild U.S. recovery has been driven by asset appreciationconsumption and not employment or capex capital expenditure growth. Future growth is dependent on additional asset appreciation in real estate and stocks if Asia continues to absorb much of our investment and many of our jobs.

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So, the lower inflation goes and the more and more investors believe that inflation will stay low, the better it is for the bond market.

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Some people say farmers have always helped farmers, People say we're expanding the definition of neighbor.

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If Fed Funds were expected to rise in the future, the curve would be positive with intermediate and long bonds requiring higher yields as a cushion against accelerating short rates. If the Fed were expected to lower rates, a flatter, even inverted curve might result. It's not that this academic theory has been dislodged in recent years but it may have been asked to take a seat next to the increasingly important variable of global financial flows. These flows, no doubt, rely critically on the willingness of foreign investors to hold U.S. assets in the face of potential currency and asset price depreciation.

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With all this consumer debt, business debt, government debt, smaller movements in interest rates have a magnified effect... a small movement can tip the boat.

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Beyond that, some Treasury market participants worry that with recovery, inflation will pick up. In a note this week replete with (groan) Star Wars ... current long bond yields do not reflect this risk.

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if those people are holders of government bonds based upon a benign outlook for inflation, they had better cash some of them in, especially at today's 4.0 yield for 10-year Treasuries.

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There's nothing really wrong with some of the things GE has done, ... It's to the advantage of a company to borrow cheaply and sell stock at a high PE ratio. That's what companies can do to assist in growing earnings.

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By the time 10-year and 2-year Treasuries reach parity, as is almost the case now, the economy is typically slowing and the Fed is at or near the end of its tightening cycle, ... We are due for what appears to be a 2 percent or less Gross Domestic Product growth rate in 2006, a rate sure to stop the Fed and to induce eventual ease at some point later in the year.

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Companies have been diluting your equity via stock options claiming that management needs incentives of millions of dollars just to get up in the morning and come in to work, ... Then they pick you off by trading on insider information, selling shares before the bad news hits and you have a chance to get out.

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The Fed knows that the economy is in terrible shape and that they must bring down short-term rates to the level of inflation. If inflation keeps coming down, the Fed, to a certain extent, has to chase inflation.

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His bark is worse than his bite. He's got a gruff exterior but underneath is a heart of gold.

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Too much debt, geopolitical risk and several bubbles have created a very unstable environment which can turn any minute, ... More than any point in the past 20 or 30 years, there's potential for a reversal.

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We think that inflation will be benign and may come down from these levels.

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I think we'll have a lot more coming in. And it's only the first year of operation. Not a lot of people know about the program.

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The market can move for irrational reasons, and you have to be prepared for that, ... you need to make big bets when the odds are in your favor -- not big enough to ruin you, but big enough to make a difference.

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Emerging-market bond funds did well this quarter, up 3.6 on average, for the same reason as emerging-market stocks. As commodity prices rose, money from the developed world flooded such commodity-rich countries as Russia and Brazil, strengthening their fiscal balance sheets and the credit quality of their bonds. Consequently, investors became less fearful of owning them. Many so-called emerging markets have long since emerged, ... Russia now has an investment-grade credit rating and with oil where it is right now, probably more money in the bank than the U.S.

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We can have a big impact not only in the U.S. , but in the developing world.

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Pay per click was just the beginning. The real evolution is pay per action.

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