David Rosenberg Quotes

The employment cost index report adds to the growing list of evidence that there is very little in the way of cost pressures in the inflation pipeline.

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There is no doubt that when I speak to hedge funds and real-money investors, they have some questions. They say that he has to prove his credentials right away.

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It is basically a subtle way to flash to the market that the negative economic consequences are resonating and that the Fed may not just look at this as a temporary soft patch this time.

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The equity market is climbing a wall of worry right now.

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Although an inverted yield curve does not always imply an economic recession, it has predicted a profit recession 100 per cent of the time.

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I thought this was the most amazing thing you could do for people.

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We are clearly in a state of economic uncertainty and the prudent thing to do in such times is to do nothing at all.

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Here's the story for equities twin deficits, a weak dollar, accelerating inflation concerns, firm commodity prices, rising bond yields and Fed tightening. Now if that doesn't sound like 1987 (the year of the stock market crash), we don't know what does.

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The big surprise in 1994 was that, despite all the inflation scares -- and there was tremendous inflation worry -- core inflation actually fell in 1994.

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Out of those five times, the economy fell into recession 100 per cent of the time.

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There's nothing in the tea leaves telling us we'll be seeing much labor-market buoyancy for several months.

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If the dollar decline is not orderly and triggers heightened inflation expectations and higher interest rates, equities will have trouble.

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Fully three-quarters of the time in the past five years when we endured a bond yield spasm like we have seen since mid-January, GDP (gross domestic product) growth slowed the following quarter and by an average of one percentage point.

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The housing market has become so stretched that the affordability ratio for first-time buyers, the folks who drive the incremental demand in the real estate sector, has deteriorated to levels last seen in the third quarter of 1989.

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Investors should be focused on regions where there are healthy balance sheets and high personal savings rates. Areas where there will be appreciating currencies, where there is pent-up demand and where there is an ability among policy makers to spur that pent-up demand.

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You need more than just the ability to spend, you need the incentive to spend. You're only going to start spending if you can prove to your board that your investment is going to pay off.

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If he and the homebuilding executives are assessing the market correctly, investors will do well to sell into the Katrina-inspired rally and lock in gains. And anyone thinking of buying a house now may wish to think again. The market is as vulnerable today as the last time we had this stretched affordability in 1989, ... It might not be on the same par as the equity bubble in the late '90s, but it's not far off.

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If the economy continues to muddle through at around 2 percent annualized growth, we could very well slip into deflation in the next two years.

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Whether it's lingering layoffs, receding real wage growth or cutbacks in healthpension benefits, corporate America is now in the process of shifting its lack of pricing power onto the backs of its workforce.

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A Bush win is good for asset managers but bad for life insurance companies.

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There is a historical pattern that everyone should be aware of because each of the past three newly appointed Fed chairman began their tenure with a quick succession of interest rate hikes.

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A year ago, 'deflation' was dripping off everybody's lips. Today, core inflation is off its low, but it's about the same as it was a year ago, yet all anybody can talk about is how far the Fed will hike.

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The consensus was too exuberant coming into this quarter -- and probably is too exuberant for the balance of the year, as far as I can see.

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For every pricing power story the Fed hawks and bond bears can find, we can probably match in the opposite direction.

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As for the employment report, I think there's a danger of overreacting over the message from it because this was the third warmest January in the past 112 years.

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