Gary Thayer Quotes

We still have a very weak world economy, despite the fact that the U.S. economy is still doing pretty good, ... We're seeing lower prices basically because there is more production out there than demand.

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We're not seeing a lot of strength in goods and services right now. Sales are mixed. Some categories are doing OK and others are weak. We're not seeing an outright decline.

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Today's numbers show that consumers are not very optimistic about the economy. As a result, we will see consumer spending reduced until we see some relief on energy prices. If we don't get some relief, it looks like it will be a very weak holiday season.

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This is probably going to keep the Fed concerned about inflation.

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These numbers look as if there's no urgent need to raise interest rates much further.

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(The data are) suggesting the decline we've seen in the dollar over the last couple of years is not having an impact. It suggests the dollar may still need to fall to help narrow the trade deficit. But there's a risk to higher inflation if it does.

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The decline in the prices paid component is good news. It looks as if we're seeing some moderation in pricing pressures, but not a significant drop.

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This may help increase the inflation-fighting credibility of the Fed before we replace the chairman.

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I really don't read a lot into the dissent it doesn't mean that's the direction policy is going to head. Some people interpret the risks differently than others, and that's what's happened this time.

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Policy-makers have been worried that rising energy costs could lead to higher prices for other things including higher wages and compensation, but it looks like companies are keeping their employment costs in check.

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Historically, when we see confidence decline, we have to watch and see if it shows up also affecting spending. We'll be watching closely to see ... whether the decline in confidence is more of a psychological factor or a real factor affecting spending.

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We're still in a seasonally weak period of year, where companies are trimming workforces. It weighs on people's minds when they hear about companies cutting back.

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Looking back, it is understandable why the Australian and New Zealand currencies peaked in early 2005. That was about the same time that the demand for crude oil also started to moderate.

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We've seen, over the past seven months or so, orders stabilize or improve slightly, compared to a big decline last year. Orders are rising relative to inventories, and that's a positive sign for capital spending.

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The warm weather meant that utilities didn't have to produce the seasonal norm, which occasionally happens in the wintertime.

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Growth is still at a healthy level.

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Growth is still at a healthy level. There is no major slowdown.

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The (February) manufacturing report was a little better than expected, showing continued growth in manufacturing.

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Confidence is up again -- to the highest level in over two years. Consumers are feeling better not only about current conditions, but also about prospects for the future.

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This is probably going to keep the Fed concerned about inflation. If the housing market is still healthy, policy-makers will probably continue to raise interest rates.

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It suggests the Fed is going to be watching closely to see if it is time to start taking back rate cuts. I don't think he is saying that is imminent, but his tone is that it might be sooner rather than later.

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I wouldn't disagree with some of the things he said, but I don't know why he said those particular things at this time.

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This suggests the government saw more real growth and less inflation in the quarter.

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It speeds up the time that the Fed will probably think about raising rates and that's negative for fixed-income.

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The values of the Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar and the Canadian dollar, as measured relative to the U.S. dollar, have been important signals of changing trends in global economic activity.

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