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 Stephen Koukoulas - “The case for a rate hike, while not totally compelling yet, is gaining a bit of momentum with these sort of numbers. On an interest-rate-differential and growth story, it should put the Australian dollar back in focus and see it move higher.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “Inflation is accelerating to worrisome levels.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “The case for a rate hike is clearly much stronger. The rest of the world is raising interest rates and global inflation rates are edging higher. Fuel-price increases will flow through to inflation.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “Clearly they are seeing inflationary risks coming through, and they feel obliged to ensure that inflationary pressures don't build further some time down the track.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “If RBNZ Governor Alan Bollard needed more information to stop hiking interest rates, the house-building consents data today fit the bill.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “Hopefully we will see trade contribute to economic growth this year after detracting for so long.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “We are just hoping the export sector kicks into growth during 2006. Improvement in the trade deficit has been a long-time coming.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “We are still waiting for an improvement in trade to fuel the economy. The trade deficit has been large for a long time.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “The aim of this rise is to cause consumers to stop spending and borrowing and it will work in that direction.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “Some of the highest interest rates in the world keep demand for the currency strong.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “There's an opportunity to buy U.S. dollars on the expectation that by the second half of this year U.S. strength will be sustained.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “I'm always worried with the consensus being unambiguously strong and unrelenting in the view they hold. But at this stage, maybe it's so obvious that the consensus may be right.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “A mid-year interest rate cut is looking less likely. We had forecast a rate cut in July. That's looking a lot shakier after today's number.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “With the core inflation readings fly-papered to a narrow range around 2.5 per cent, there is scope for the RBA to continue its rates-on-hold strategy for several more months.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “The Fed will pause at 4.75 percent. After this month they will sit back for a couple of meetings to judge how the economy unfolds. That could be the catalyst for further dollar weakness.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “Bollard is clearly frustrated, ... The kiwi dollar is too strong, adding to external imbalances by making it harder for exporters to compete. He would love to see the currency falling.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “Bollard is clearly frustrated. The kiwi dollar is too strong, adding to external imbalances by making it harder for exporters to compete. He would love to see the currency falling.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “If you want sustained growth you need business investment to help drive it. The growth report combined with the election victory is good news investors for years have been crying out for reform and have been hoping the Japanese economy can sustain growth.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “The credit data, together with the TD-MI monthly inflation gauge for October suggest the Reserve Bank will leave interest rates unchanged.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “The credit data, together with the TD-MI monthly inflation gauge for October suggest the Reserve Bank will leave interest rates unchanged,”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “We forecast the Reserve Bank will raise rates by the middle of the year as it works to damp inflation pressures that are still pronounced.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “A big increase could certainly get the Reserve Bank a little nervous. They'd be very close to pulling the trigger, raising the rate.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “Any hopes that the Reserve Bank could hold off raising interest rates have been dashed, ... If the bank is going to contain inflation in 2006 and 2007, they have got to keep raising rates.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “Housing construction is likely to be weak into the first half of 2006 and possibly beyond. It works against the tightening bias of the Reserve Bank.”
 Stephen Koukoulas - “The news should provide support for the Australian dollar with a hint that the trade balance will continue to narrow.”

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