Mark Zandi Quotes

It does indicate that the second quarter was a disappointing quarter, ... Growth slowed sharply. Consumers became more cautious and our trade deficit ballooned. The economy was weighed down by higher energy prices.

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All these statistics reflect the full force of the hurricanes on the broader economy and we will probably have another month of ugly statistics.

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Bush will paint Kerry as being a tax-and-spend liberal and Kerry will paint bush as only providing tax cuts for the rich.

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I think what we are seeing with the bond yields is a byproduct of globalization. That being said, I think it is something to watch and to understand better. But I am not overly concerned.

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It undermines growth at the same time that it fans inflation.

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Once skittish businesses are turning into confident businesses that are willing and able to hire. I think the job market will improve further in the course of the coming year.

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Trade is far and away the largest weight on the U.S. economy at present. This is a risky time.

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It depends on your time frame. For the next few months, it's decidedly a negative event. But in a year or so, the effects will likely have faded.

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Some 20 percent of the nation's refining capacity seems to be right in Rita's path. If that gets disrupted at all, then gasoline, jet fuel, natural gas and home heating oil will surge higher.

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Labor will start demanding bigger pay increases and will get them.

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It will cost you some money in fees. But in 2007, when the market is at its worst and your mortgage is resetting and you're looking for a lender to refinance you out, you just may not find one.

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It would take time for that to occur and during this period of adjustment -- some things might not get done -- maybe some crops won't be picked or some hotel rooms won't get cleaned.

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It's always a bit difficult to read the economic data in the winter, just because activity is thinner, and the vagaries of weather are more pronounced. So it's not unusual to see, although this is an extraordinary amount of volatility.

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So far, the surge in oil prices has yet to do any significant damage to the broader economy. We may see some softening in the consumer spending numbers soon, but unless that translates into a weaker job market, the economy should be able to weather these higher energy prices.

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Consumers will see higher prices on coffee beverages and even chocolate if the raw supplies get backed up at the ports. In agricultural products, prices of cereals and breads could decline. If we can't export the wheat and grain, then the excess supply will have to be consumed domestically, pushing down prices.

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Economists say that as housing markets begin to cool, bankruptcies are likely to increase. At some point you will get a combination of falling values combined with rising payments on adjustable mortgages, which will result in more bankruptcy, ... For these areas of the country that are enjoying such wonderful conditions right now, it will become much less wonderful a few years down the road.

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If we get a string of bad data on inflation, the Fed will probably have to tighten for a bit longer.

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This is a similar point in the business cycle to when Greenspan took over the reins of the Fed. And of course he was tested right away with the 1987 stock market crash.

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As the memory of the tech bust fades, we seem to be getting better and better job growth.

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Most likely the higher prices will slow growth, ... But there is the growing threat that we get a combination of slower growth and higher inflation.

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The job market is as good as it's been since 2000. Unemployment is 4.7 percent, and it is falling. Job growth is sturdy, and it is increasingly broad-based and across regions and occupations. In fact, this will be the first year that wage growth will begin to accelerate. It should be a good year for American students.

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This should be a year where the tech market stabilizes but I don't see job growth until 2004.

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Ultimately, if you err on the side of being dovish it will only come with more pain from slower growth. The hit to growth would be more substantial from higher inflation than from interest rate hikes.

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Here again, the business cycle will determine more than the commander in chief in the near term. There is very little the president can do to stimulate the job market quickly, ... but there is much the president can do to stimulate the job market long-run.

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It is going to be a tough winter for many seniors. Not only will they face higher Medicare premiums, but record gasoline prices and higher home heating bills as well.

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