Oscar Gonzalez Quotes

Record crude prices usually mean record trade gaps. Nobody sees relief on the energy front any time soon.

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If, as expected, the October employment report shows a sharp rise in unemployment and a sharp decline in job growth, it could be a crushing blow to confidence. Having a job is probably the single biggest factor in consumers having confidence.

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The overall trend is still pretty dismal in terms of imbalances between imports and exports.

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The numbers reflect a little bit of the unwinding of consumer spending, ... It's not all of that was unexpected, given the (weak) figures we had on retail sales.

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Foreboding. That's the only word for today's report. We could be facing our worst case scenario rising inflation in a slowing economy.

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The employment situation, which has the most direct impact on everyone's lives and outlook, is still precarious, and that's causing a lot of anxiety. They're worried about their jobs, but at the same time, I think they sense that this mild recession appears to be ending, and that will raise their hopes.

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Inflation hawks may be eating crow today. Despite their fears of tight labor markets and a strong economy, inflation is only creeping, not accelerating. I don't think that this report assures that the Fed tightening cycle is over, but I wouldn't be surprised to see rising market expectations of a rate cut. With most prices in check and energy prices easing, this report is about as good as it gets.

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I don't think recent price data suggests that inflation is dead. The Fed has to worry about whether or not it is keeping inflation under control and it would probably like to err on the side of caution.

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The trade gap is a canyon and I see no reasonable expectation of it narrowing anytime soon.

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There is evidence that the weakening dollar also is beginning to have a positive effect. This is a good sign both for the future of our exports and for our hope to narrow the trade gap.

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Strong but moderating retail sales and improving productivity suggest an economy that should continue to grow while avoiding overheating. The reports would seem to make it less likely that the Fed will need to move again this year.

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The report isn't so tame as to deter the Fed from bumping rates another notch, especially with Y2K fears dissipating and consumers showing no signs of fatigue. However, it should ease market fears that the Fed will need to tighten several more times.

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Since the economy is softening, I expect inflationary pressures to subside. The door is still open for the Fed to continue easing rates, as necessary.

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I would think the probability of a move (on interest rates) would be somewhere around the 40 percent range.

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Inflation is on the mat and not getting up soon. With the U.S. economy still in a recession and economies around the world weak, demand is slack and resulting in no inflationary pressures at all. Simply put, no one can raise prices.

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We're finally getting consistently good news on the labor markets and even an occasional positive surprise like today's report.

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All eyes will now shift to next week's employment report. The figures we've seen over the past few weeks suggest it will be quite weak. The report may be enough to push the Fed into giving the economy another shot in the arm at their next meeting.

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Until businesses feel a real need for more hands-until productivity alone won't allow them to reach their earnings goals-they won't begin hiring.

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I think the Fed will act aggressively. The timing remains to be seen, but both Main Street and Wall Street are pleading for further rate cuts, so I think Greenspan will respond. The sooner and deeper a rate cut, the sooner consumer and business confidence should improve.

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Stopping at this point is off the table unless there is some unexpected piece of news like a sudden collapse in the housing market.

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While improving consumer confidence probably suggests downside protection against a slump in spending, it does not suggest we will see spending take off. We still need a sustained improvement in the jobs market, including a significant decrease in unemployment with a solid increase in real wages.

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The kids are in their classes. When you find some success at Leto, the students and the faculty get behind them.

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The trend is now clear. Inflationary pressures are building and prices are rising only the pace remains at issue. September's figures may prove to be just a spike, but we can't dismiss the growing risks of a sudden acceleration in inflation.

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The labor market remains the Achilles heel of a robust economic recovery. With the Fed talking about lowering interest rates to zero to get the economy growing strongly again, getting people back to work and increasing demand may be the Fed's primary worry.

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Rising benefit costs are cutting into already lean corporate profits. This may cause businesses to further delay additional hiring, which is critical to boosting the sluggish economy.

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