Ray Neidl Quotes

They might try to become more international-oriented. Domestically, I'm thinking they will shrink.

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Once they get the labor savings in place, their troubles aren't over, ... They need to squeeze more out of secured creditors.

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The US Airways route system fits very nicely with the United Airlines system. If this deal goes through, it would turn the airline industry on its head.

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They're wearing off, but anybody else would kill to have these fuel hedges.

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I think the market was looking for an excuse to buy airlines and UAL was the excuse for it today, ... In the first quarter, probably half the majors are going to lose money, but I think that's already factored into the market. I think investors are already looking towards the second quarter.

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They're going to lose some of these customers. If they can solve their problems by September, the problem will be limited. If it goes past September, they'll have trouble winning back the higher yielding customers.

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This summer is going to be crucial. If this summer is worse than expected, we could have new talk of bankruptcy in the fall. Even if it's good, I don't see them returning to profitability until the third quarter of next year at the earliest.

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It's going to be tough. He's got to keep good labor relations, but they've got to cut more in the labor area.

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My instinct tells me it'll only cover a small fraction of fuel increases.

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If the recent spike in oil prices sticks, it could also impact demand for air travel through a decline in consumer buying power and confidence.

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The big guys decided they wanted to maintain market share in areas where they didn't have the cost structure to compete. It's adjusting slowly as the big guys decide they'll never make money there.

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They (airline officials) are afraid things could deteriorate further, ... That's why I have a 'buy' rather than a 'strong buy.'

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Mergers and liquidations are going to happen, ... They're going to realize the industry has too much capacity, too many hubs, too many seats, too many airlines.

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With globalization and the rate we're going at, it could happen as soon as three to five years. I don't think it's ready for prime time. A lot of things have to be cleared up before that happens.

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It looks like it's a big deal for them (AMR and UAL) because they keep raising the ante. Canada by itself is a very small market, but it does have a strategic geographic importance, and it's right next to the American market, which makes it all the more important.

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We were expecting weakness but it came even weaker than we feared. The key thing is business traffic is way off.

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I don't think American would have extended unless they got assurances from union leadership they had the votes. It was a flawed process to begin with.

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It's a failing carrier and government authorities would probably love to have a bigger airline come and buy it and rescue it.

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I think there's an overreaction here, ... Everybody's getting crushed today, but I would interpret it as being a United problem.

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They can get so much more productivity without a third party acting as an intermediary. The unions will probably get the right to hold a vote, but I think there's a good chance Delta will keep the unions out. Last time there was a vote by mechanics, to my surprise it was overwhelmingly voted down.

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To a large degree it (the cut in commissions) is helping offset the fuel prices. You're talking about some big bucks there. That's 3 percent of revenue to people who book 80 percent of your flights.

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I didn't think there was an industry in worse shape than the airline industry -- but I have finally found one.

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Remember you can be the lowest cost airline in world and if you don't have cooperation of your work force you're going to fail, ... They're being asked to sacrifice a lot, another 35 percent. But if they don't agree their jobs will go away.

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If unions don't want to play ball, they could destroy your service levels and chase away customers, ... You're also not sure you'll get the changes in the contract from the judge. You're much better off if everyone could get it together.

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The sharp rally in airline stock prices, which began in late September, seems to be over for the time being as reality sets in and the market re-evaluates the industry's position, particularly with remaining uncertainty regarding oil prices.

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