I've been light on personal computer stocks for some time because of the secular trend which I think is negative towards the PC vendors. I believe units will continue to grow worldwide at about 15 percent per year, but average selling prices, now with the advent of the 200 and 300 box, are stopping like stones, and I don't see that changing anytime soon.
It has very steady results. They are one of the leaders in software for engineering simulation where an engineering designs a product, wants to see when they actually go to prototype if it is going to work. They have very consistent results and I actually think when they report their quarter in the next week or two, it'll be an upside surprise.
I think we have to get through this period that we're in right now. Companies that don't prerelease will make the numbers. Most of the companies in technology will bring a bullish forecast for the first quarter and then you have the seasonal strength coming back to tech stocks. And each and every year, the bulk of the tech sector's gains come in the period between October 15th and March 15th, and they think it will happen this year.
I really do believe that investors have to have a diversified approach. It will be very tough to pick stocks unless you have a big amount of money in your personal account so you can diversify on your own. So I would think you'd pick the premier technology funds and I'm not trying to sell myself, but I do think that it helps. And I also think that you need to have tech in your portfolio. Tech right now is about 30 percent of the weight of the SP 500. I think investors are going to put themselves at substantial risk if they get too carried away with some of the companies and have too much in their portfolio. The appropriate weight in your portfolio is 30 percent, which is neutral the benchmark.